Fantasy Baseball Rankings 2024: Busts from proven MLB computer model that called Daulton Varsho’s down season

MLB Opening Day 2024 is scheduled for March 28 and if you’re not already preparing for your upcoming 2024 Fantasy baseball drafts, time is running out. Catcher is always a difficult position to handle because of the toll the defensive responsibilities take on a player’s body often limits offensive production. That makes landing a catcher with offensive upside like Adley Rutschman, Will Smith or J.T. Realmuto extremely desirable, but it’s always important to know exactly when to make your move.

With a reliable set of live-updated 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings, you can stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and make informed decisions at every stage of the draft. They can also help you identify the potential 2024 Fantasy baseball busts that could cause major headaches in your Fantasy baseball lineups this season. Before finalizing your 2024 Fantasy baseball draft prep, be sure to see the 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last season, SportsLine’s Projection Model identified several top Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts, including Blue Jays outfielder Daulton Varsho.

Varsho set new career highs in doubles (23), triples (3), home runs (27), RBI (74) and stolen bases (16) in 2022 and Fantasy baseball managers were predicting he’d take another step forward in 2023, drafting him 73rd overall on average. However, the model saw some holes in his game and predicted him as a 2023 Fantasy baseball bust who wouldn’t live up to his Fantasy baseball ADP. 

The result: Varsho’s OPS dropped from .745 to .674 and he also saw drops in home runs (20) and RBI (61), while failing to take advantage of the new baserunning rules (16 steals again). Anybody who followed the model’s advice and avoided Varsho in their Fantasy baseball drafts avoided a major headache.

The SportsLine model is engineered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. And that same group is sharing its 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day.

Any time more MLB news comes out about MLB free agency signings or Fantasy baseball injuries, the team at SportsLine updates its projections. Go to SportsLine now to see these proven Fantasy baseball cheat sheets.

Top 2024 Fantasy baseball busts

One of the Fantasy baseball busts 2024 the model is fading: Rangers catcher Jonah Heim. Texas had a dream season in 2023, winning its first World Series and Heim had an incredible year individually as well. He set new career highs in hits (118), doubles (28), home runs (18), RBI (95), average (.257), on-base percentage (.317) and slugging (.438) while making his first All-Star team and winning his first Gold Glove.

However, his .289 BABIP was 56 points higher than his career average entering the season and that wasn’t the product of any significant batted-ball profile changes. Heim could be subject to significant regression when it comes to contact rates and a more crowded lineup could push Heim further down in the order, meaning fewer run-producing opportunities. Those are big reasons why the model ranks Heim behind catchers like Austin Wells and Travis d’Arnaud who are going over 100 picks later on average.

Another of the 2024 Fantasy baseball busts the model projects won’t live up to their ADP: Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy. He is becoming an all-or-nothing hitter after batting .212 last season for his third straight season hitting below .215. But his power numbers boost his Fantasy baseball appeal with 36 home runs, 105 RBI and 95 runs scored. 

He is 33 years old and turns 34 during this season, so there’s a question as to how long he can sustain his power success. Muncy had an .808 OPS, seventh among third basemen, in a productive season, however, given his age and poor average, the model believes there are better options at third base going later in 2024 Fantasy baseball drafts than Muncy. See more busts at SportsLine.

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings

SportsLine’s model is also fading a surprising starting pitcher who is coming off the board in the third round on average in early 2024 Fantasy baseball drafts. The model is predicting this ace suffers a setback and finishes outside the top 15 at his position. Avoiding him until later on could be the difference between winning your league or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.

So which 2024 Fantasy baseball busts should you avoid in your upcoming drafts? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings for every single position, all from the model that predicted Daulton Varsho’s falloff in 2023, and find out.



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